Here’s a Trick to Predict What Cars Will Rise in Value

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Would like to know what automobiles will rise in value? Here's a trick to help anticipate it! People are always asking me what automobiles will rise in worth, so today I'm letting you know a trick I believe will assist predict what vehicles will increase in value.

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Here's a Trick to Predict What Cars Will Rise in Value

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78 Comments

  1. Absolutely agree. I’ve been saying this about the W210 chassis Mercedes. A clean one today is rare let alone a clean one 10 or 20 years from now. This car was iconic and widely emulated and people still hate it.

    Therefore I would partially extend this theory to include cars that began a new era for the brand and an attempt to capture a wider market share, but not purchased by the type of buyer that cared enough to preserve them.

    1. Particularly the non-AMG V8 W210s, still kicking myself for passing on a $4500 2000 E430 and going for a arguably tamer X5 3.0i instead.

    2. Any naturally aspirated V6 V8 and I6 Mercedes are going up in Value. I have an SLK 320 6 speed manual and a C280 5 speed manual. They will shoot up simply because of displacement downsizing. Same with the CLKs 208, especially the convertibles. They all rust like hell but values will go up

  2. I like the videos where you can tell that Doug could talk for hours and hours about a certain topic and it would still be interesting

  3. Around here, the LFA’s were bought by dealers and they refused to sell them due to allocations. To this day I bet there’s at least five dealers that own one in the showroom.

    1. A few dealers own some in northeast USA, I think there’s one in the MA/CT area that still sits in showroom

    2. Yeah I read an article about how there are a bunch of LFA’s that were delivered to dealers but have never been sold or registered and one person who worked at one of the dealerships said one was put into storage when it showed up and just gets brought out to change the fluids.

    3. There’s at least two LFA’s owned by dealers (or the dealer’s owners/ceo) in the Toronto area as well, so there are definitely more than five out there sitting at extremely low mileage in dealership’s “not for sale” section.

    4. You just made Doug’s point except you’re focusing on a fairly benign distinction: dealers “choose not to” sell them vs dealers “can’t” sell them. It’s immaterial to the end result – scarcity. But once LFA’s sell for well past a million, I bet these dealerships will be a bit more eager to unload their showroom art piece.

  4. The Lexus LC500 is a gorgeous car. They definitely will shoot up in value once people realise it looks ahead of its time, has the NA V8 and the stylish interior fit and finish.

    1. @Jeff K hey cars with low resale value is good. Depreciation is the greatest thing ever because normal people can buy it and feel like a rich person instead of buying expensive toys that goes up in price that rich criminals buy

    2. @Super Cars From The Hood because not everyone wants to buy an expensive car. Expensive versions of cars don’t sell compared to base models.

    3. @Daniel Jones and cars that people dream of owning knowing that they will never buy one because they will never be rich. Cars being “valuable” pisses me off because not everyone in this world can spend millions on these cars that will because rich people “toys” that you see driving around Monaco

    4. found a 2011 IS F with ~13k miles around xmas and traded my 128i on it. It kinda hurts to put miles on it but I just keep reminding myself it is not an e92. Daily for life (since I don’t commute anymore). That 2UR-GSE is like a symphony.

  5. Im going to argue doug on this to a degree, while a lot of the cars may have been unpopular in their day saleswise, to a lot of people who grew up with them in games and by watching top gear and stuff, they were extremely loved and popular culturally, they didnt sell because most of us weren’t old enough to buy cars, now that we are older and have jobs that pay us decently enough, the prices have followed along as more and more of us are getting old enough and earning enough money to buy these cars

    1. @Jerome Fung same here, for me while Forza and Gran Turismo introduced me to a lot of cars, Top Gear is one of my biggest introductions to cars like this as a kid

    2. Well that is exactly what makes all these cars go up… new Supra, NSX and all the other cars mentioned are being idolized by younger kids now, while people who can afford them go and buy their childhood dream cars instead. Makes them rarer, they stop production, children get older and start buying them driving the prices up, and the cycle continues with next generation of kids and new cars. You’re agreeing with his point, just coming at it from a different angle

    3. @davidsucks Doug is saying these cars were unpopular and not desired back then. This is blatantly false they were not bought in the hundreds because people couldn’t afford them. Not because of the reasons Doug is saying.

    4. Yeah when Doug said “don’t say those cars were popular because they weren’t”, I disagree with that to an extent. Many of the cars mentioned in the video were popular, just that they weren’t selling because they weren’t popular with those who could afford them. That doesn’t mean they weren’t popular at all. I still remember back in 2013 or 14, I watched the Top Gear episode where Jeremy drove the yellow Lexus LFA, and I got an LFA myself in NFS World and I so badly wished I owned one in real life but obviously, I wasn’t rich enough to afford one. And even right now I wish I owned a new gen NSX but again, still not rich enough to afford one.

      Edit: the LFA point I made could be applied to many other cars as well.

    5. @jebril The people who could afford them were probably buying things like Jaguar E types, a car I personally think looks rather silly with its wheels set so far into the wheel arches.

  6. One of my bold predictions is the 350 and 370z. They are dinosaurs during their own product run, manual, analog, very reliable and most of them will be modded and destroyed by kids, so in 15-20 years they will be very desirable and hard to find cars that are the last of the “old school” gasoline sports cars of their time.

    1. I think they’ll go up for different reasons, specifically the “240sx” reason. The 350z and 370z were always reasonably desirable, or at least from what I’ve seen. But they are a fantastic platform for racing/drifting which inevitably means limited chairs and part availability, the same problem that plagues the 240sx

    2. @ScottOmatic 370z with poor manual gearbox? The 6-speed in the 350 and 370z is phenomenal. It’s like the Japanese T56. The only issue was the slave cylinder. Those are fantastic direct linkage manuals that can hold a LOT of power.

  7. Is it manual?
    Is it in any good computer games?
    Has it featured in any film/TV?
    Does it look good?
    Is it rare?

    My predictions have all jumped in value.

    1. i mean all of these are very obvious and safe bets, pretty much no risk there. so it’s nothing new or groundbreaking.

    2. @James Bowert Probably not until it’s considered a classic. 350z has double the production numbers of the S2000 and has two successors now that are fundamentally the same car but better. People who want a Z can buy a new one which reduces demand on old ones.

    3. And probably you would never buy it because it will be reserved for rich wealthy people. I’m sick and tired of people praising cars that will be unaffordable to them

    4. @Thunder Chunky and cater to rich people while middle class people are left in dust having anxiety over paying bills

  8. I feel like with the new enthusiast cars the tech will play a bigger role. with those older 90s and 00s cars the tech wasn’t significantly different from say the late 70s, with the difference being maybe the type of music interface. However, with cars released in the last couple of years you get screens and features that might seem extremely old in only a decade, and when 25+ years rolls around might even be unusable save for really dedicated enthusiasts. With those cars that have just a giant screen for most of their controls, would it become necessary to be a hobbyist programmer in order to work on them?

    1. I kinda get what you are saying and I kinda agree. The cars with the humongous tablets to do everything will be less desirable than the ones with a smaller (8-10 inch) and physical buttons and dials. The whole layout of the tablet dashboards won’t age well and they will all look the same (like a community).

    2. Its hard to predict what will heppend in next 25 year…. There is possibility you will have AI smarter then you and communities like xda, but for cars not phones with cutom “roms” for cars. Or nuclear winter…

    3. Inversely, modern interior tech might drive a push for those older vehicles rocking standard double-din radios. You can always swap in a newer radio unit with Android Auto or Apple Carplay, but modern infotainment systems are too engrained in the car’s operations to swap out with any ease. They are not gonna age well in 10+ years when the next latest tech trend finds their way in there.

    4. I wonder if the cars with old school systems will become more desirable as things like touchscreens wear out. If the only thing you lose is Satnav and entertainment people can use external devices and live with that. If the infotainment system breaks and is needed for controlling the heater settings that is a much bigger problem.
      On a similar subject how will plastic headlights fare in the future. A colleague has a 20 year old Mercedes and his headlights are opaque. Does the same happen on enthusiast cars which spend most of their time garaged ?

  9. This video makes me feel like the Audi TTs (especially the 3.2 models) will be appreciated down the line. The first gen Audi TTs are pretty underrated but decent cars. Its got looks, the engine is a great sounding and quirkily displaced V6 paired up to one of the first dual clutch transmissions in a road car and all wheel drive. It was overshadowed by alternatives like the 350Z for pricing at the time. Great cars but they’ve really have brought the TT a reputation of being an overpriced underperformer when its actually a pretty fun and peppy car.

    1. Why do people praise cars that’s getting more and more unaffordable? Are we supposed to be against this?

    2. @drippgxd Its more so that fact that these cars are so cheap now since they weren’t thought of being worthy for their own time. You’re probably thinking of dealership markups which bring car prices up beyond appreciation and bleeds into everything including the used car market. In other words inflation. Appreciation to cars that people NOW deem cool and legendary to their own respective degrees are what people are looking at. Thats why he brought up the Audi 80 and Sport Quattro because once upon a time those cars were actually extremely cheap and affordable before they were collector cars.

    3. @SmolSmonk now tell me what kind of people plans to buy cars appreciating in value? Middle class normal people or Rich people?

  10. My theory on the ‘undesirable’ bit: when new they were undesirable from those who could afford them..but were wanted by those who couldn’t afford them (specifically young people).
    Fast forward ten or twenty years and now those young people have careers and money and can acquire them

    1. In many items (like boomboxes) there is a similar “Nostalgia Wave”. Look up the price of a JVC M90 if you don’t believe me.

    2. That’s the same for most young car guys. But the thing is that not everyone will be rich. Just so you know

  11. I agree with most of the predictions, especially with the “new” NSX, I have always liked that car and it blows my mind that they aren’t popular.

    1. @jebril isn’t that most of the cars that rises in price? Most people can’t afford a $100k used car.

    2. @Rahul Sohoni yeah cars skyrocketing in value is really upsetting to people who wants their dream car. I will never be rich and that’s the same with most people

  12. The first gen Ford Raptor, with the 6.2, will be really desirable in a few years from now when everything is switching to smaller displacement engines, turbocharging, hybrids, and EV. The first gen raptor is the only generation that came with a NA V8. Then they started switching to the 3.5 ecoboost. And it was the introduction to the offroad bias pickup.

    1. Yay more people praising cars they will never buy because they will be overpriced and unaffordable

  13. I always liked the LFA and the i8, Doug has to realize most of us are car geeks and watch his videos because their amusing and informational, however if I could have afforded any of these cars I would have gotten one…

    1. Doug is saying things that make no sense too. The car plummeted jn value! He says as it sits at 300k, now its 600k. Like these numbers don’t matter to normal ppl

    2. A common trend I notice is that most of the cars he listed are at a relatively high price compared to the competition during their time. I remember that being a common complaint about a lot of the 90s JDM cars that became tuner legends. Then around 2008/2010, they became worthless. I remember seeing NSX’s and Supra’s go for under $20k. Now you can’t get them for under $50k in bad condition lol.

  14. I agree with your assessment, two additional points:
    Many of these cars sold poorly originally because they cost too much for what they were.
    Then because they were unpopular they became cheap and modified or abused, and even further reduced their numbers.

    1. “They cost too much for what they were” same can be said for cars that are “valuable”. Idk why people get upset when a brand increases price on their products but used things being more unaffordable day by day. Is there something I’m missing?

  15. When the LFA came out I made $15 an hour. If I could have bought one I would have. Jeez Doug I couldn’t afford 95% of those examples even if I had a time machine and knew they raise by 1000% in value.

    1. Like Doug said, a house is a better investment. Around here it surprises me how many owners of £1million + houses have cars like a well maintained ten year old Ford Focus.

    2. That’s the worst thing about cars artificially inflating in price. Sellers and owners get excited when their cars goes up in price but buyers have a high anxiety about spending $500k in a car. When Doug bought his Ford GT he felt the same. He can’t sleep at night knowing that he’s about to spend $200k on a car.

    3. @MrDuncl you do realize that homeless people exist right? In California, housing market there is very very expensive. In Los Angeles, a city in California, there’s a whole neighborhood dedicated to homeless people called Skid row. It’s in the warehouse district of Downtown LA. That place shows the true colors of housing prices and how unfair life is.

  16. *One I think you might have missed or maybe they’re not sold in the US market: the previous gen/current Audi TTS/RS. Small, tossable, great power and they’ve been threatening to cancel them for years.*

    1. this. even the bog standard non-s non-rs versions are rare. the tt is essentially canceled, 2nd gen is the end of the line, no 3rd gen. the rs currently has a going away edition forgot what its called but if you’re looking for rare future classics this one is a hidden gem even though the 1st gen won numerous design awards and sold well. also way more popular in the uk than over here so there’s a built-in fanbase just forgotten as it gets long in the tooth.

  17. Sales numbers don’t lie. Most Doug has mentioned are higher end expensive vehicles. Not so many average priced vehicles. The Superbird I remember on a dealership lot up on a pedestal with a ramp. Set in the front corner of their lot. Thinking was great NASCAR car but who’d want to have that huge wing? I could not talk my father into purchasing one, not a businessman’s car and you have to realize young people didn’t have that $$ , no making $ on non existent internet

  18. There’s a big difference between loving one of these cars and being one of the people that was actually in the market to buy one when it was new. There could be a million people who love a car but if that group does not overlap with the people that can afford it, it’s not going to sell well.

    I always wanted a Lotus Elise, but couldn’t afford one. Now that I could actually afford one, they no longer sell them, and the used market is 2-3x the price they were brand new.

  19. I agree on the LFA. I was 16 when it came out and it was still a pinup car for me. But I have to think.. if I had the financial means to purchase one new, I don’t think I would have. I’d go straight to a Ferrari dealer and order a 458, and save some money in the process.

  20. I have a feeling that the 2006 – 2010 Generation Dodge Charger R/T, SRT8 and Daytona models will one day be desirable, would love to hear other opinions on this

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